Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: SPLASHOUT 2200 (Grade 3) (Handicap)
Line Horse
Aragosta
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Crimson King 7 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 93 96 93 +0 2 Aragosta 3 60.5 2 1.70 2.0 114 114 114 +0 3 Lord William 2 55.0 3 3.20 0.0 107 105 105 -2 4 Black Thorn 4 54.5 4 3.45 0.5 102 103 103 +1 5 Street Art 3 53.5 5 4.65 2.0 103 96 96 -7 6 One Way Traffic 4 58.0 6 4.70 0.5 109 108 108 -1 7 Raiseahallelujah 7 53.0 7 5.30 0.0 99 98 98 -1 8 Nebraas 8 62.0 8 5.70 0.0 117 116 116 -1 9 Sea Master 4 53.0 9 6.10 0.5 99 97 97 -2 10 Shango 5 57.0 10 6.35 0.0 107 106 106 -1 11 River Romeo 2 55.0 11 6.85 0.0 107 102 102 -5 12 Jimmy Don 2 59.5 12 8.85 0.0 116 111 111 -5 13 Union Square 2 58.5 13 10.95 0.0 114 109 109 -5 14 Flying Bull 4 55.0 14 12.45 0.5 103 101 101 -2 15 Willow's Wish 4 53.0 15 12.85 0.5 99 97 97 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crimson King | 93 | 105 | 93 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aragosta Line | 114 | 109 | 114 | -5 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Lord William | 107 | 106 | 105 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Black Thorn | 102 | 102 | 103 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Street Art | 103 | 78 | 96 | -18 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | One Way Traffic | 109 | 109 | 108 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Raiseahallelujah | 99 | 103 | 98 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Nebraas | 117 | 101 | 116 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sea Master | 99 | 99 | 97 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Shango | 107 | 105 | 106 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | River Romeo | 107 | 94 | 102 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Jimmy Don | 116 | 112 | 111 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Union Square | 114 | 110 | 109 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Flying Bull | 103 | 98 | 101 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 15 | Willow's Wish | 99 | 96 | 97 | -1 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points