Official NHA Assessment
Race 12: WORLD SPORTS BETTING FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Magna Mater
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
16 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Warm Welcome 3 57.5 1 0.00 4.0 79 78 79 +0 2 Magna Mater 3 57.0 2 3.50 4.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Mounia 3 58.5 3 3.90 4.0 81 81 81 +0 4 L'Ami Jean 4 55.0 4 4.90 2.5 68 76 76 +8 5 Polar World 3 60.0 5 6.15 4.0 84 83 83 -1 6 Nippy Winter 3 57.0 6 6.55 4.0 78 77 77 -1 7 Lillybelle 6 58.0 7 8.05 0.0 80 87 87 +7 8 Mel's Princess 3 55.5 8 8.55 4.0 75 74 74 -1 9 Impressive Queen 3 56.5 9 8.95 4.0 77 76 76 -1 10 Miss Millstream 5 60.0 10 9.15 0.0 74 91 91 +17 11 Adderbury Lake (GB) 4 58.5 11 9.25 2.5 72 83 83 +11 12 Regina Isabella 4 59.5 12 10.00 2.5 74 85 85 +11 13 Black Path 6 56.5 13 10.50 0.0 76 84 84 +8 14 Hilarity (GB) 4 57.5 14 15.75 2.5 71 81 81 +10 15 Forries Forever 3 59.5 15 21.00 4.0 83 82 82 -1 99 Perfect Trust 7 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 86 86 +0 99 Dawnofanewday 3 56.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Island Treasure 3 59.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warm Welcome | 79 | 86 | 79 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Magna Mater Line | 78 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Mounia | 81 | 75 | 81 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | L'Ami Jean | 68 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Polar World | 84 | 70 | 83 | -13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Nippy Winter | 78 | 66 | 77 | -11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lillybelle | 80 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mel's Princess | 75 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Impressive Queen | 77 | 59 | 76 | -17 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Miss Millstream | 74 | 63 | 91 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Adderbury Lake (GB) | 72 | 72 | 83 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Regina Isabella | 74 | 74 | 85 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Black Path | 76 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Hilarity (GB) | 71 | 63 | 81 | -18 | 2.5 | - | |
| 15 | Forries Forever | 83 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Perfect Trust | - | 50 | 86 | -36 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dawnofanewday | - | 107 | 75 | +32 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Island Treasure | - | 73 | 81 | -8 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points