Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RH CONSTRUCTION & CONCRETE FLOORS FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Palm Breeze
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Aspoestertjie 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 70 73 70 +0 2 Palm Breeze 3 61.0 2 0.50 1.5 72 72 72 +0 3 Cinnamon Blush 3 58.0 3 2.20 1.5 65 66 66 +1 4 Miss Gibson 3 53.0 4 2.60 1.5 55 56 56 +1 5 Alittlebitnaughty 4 58.5 5 2.90 2.0 66 66 66 +0 6 Shona Kirsty Yves 3 59.0 6 3.10 1.5 71 68 68 -3 7 Tiz Magic 2 57.5 7 3.35 0.5 65 67 67 +2 8 Perfect Trust 7 57.0 8 3.65 0.0 71 67 67 -4 9 Blush Of Dawn 8 55.5 9 4.85 0.0 60 64 64 +4 10 Fort J'adore 3 57.5 10 6.35 1.5 65 65 65 +0 11 Royal Oasis 3 57.0 11 6.55 1.5 63 64 64 +1 11 Kileigh's Fate 4 53.5 11 6.55 2.0 56 56 56 +0 13 La Prestissimo 3 57.5 13 10.95 1.5 65 65 65 +0 14 Flying The Star 4 55.0 14 11.75 2.0 59 59 59 +0 15 Maggie Tee 3 57.0 15 11.80 1.5 64 64 64 +0 16 Chelsea Blue 3 58.5 16 20.70 1.5 67 67 67 +0 99 Pantea 3 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aspoestertjie | 70 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Palm Breeze Line | 72 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Cinnamon Blush | 65 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Miss Gibson | 55 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Alittlebitnaughty | 66 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Shona Kirsty Yves | 71 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Tiz Magic | 65 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Perfect Trust | 71 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Blush Of Dawn | 60 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fort J'adore | 65 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Royal Oasis | 63 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Kileigh's Fate | 56 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | La Prestissimo | 65 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Flying The Star | 59 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Maggie Tee | 64 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 16 | Chelsea Blue | 67 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pantea | - | 57 | 64 | -7 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points