Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Ralph The Rascal
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Voldemort            6    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   76    74           76    +0
2    Crested Eagle        3    55.5    2    0.90     0.5   72    70           70    -2
3    Ultimate Jewel       5    57.5    3    2.90     0.0   75    73           73    -2
4    Ralph The Rascal     8    62.0    4    2.95     0.0   82    82           82    +0
5    Forest Jump          8    58.0    5    3.65     0.0   74    73           73    -1
6    William Rufus        2    61.0    6    4.35     0.0   82    78           78    -4
7    Captain Who          4    57.5    7    4.85     0.5   73    70           70    -3
8    Son Of Silk          4    57.0    8    4.95     0.5   72    69           69    -3
9    Whorly Whorly        7    54.5    9    5.35     0.0   67    65           65    -2
10   Ice Kingdom          2    61.0    10   5.45     0.0   82    78           78    -4
11   Nelson Bay           4    55.5    11   7.05     0.5   87    66           77    -10
12   Unsolved Riddle      3    59.0    12   33.35    0.5   78    73           73    -5
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Voldemort 76 81 76 +5 0.0 -
2 Crested Eagle 72 51 70 -19 0.5 -
3 Ultimate Jewel 75 80 73 +7 0.0 -
4 Ralph The Rascal Line 82 73 82 -9 0.0
5 Forest Jump 74 62 73 -11 0.0 -
6 William Rufus 82 88 78 +10 0.0 -
7 Captain Who 73 65 70 -5 0.5 -
8 Son Of Silk 72 65 69 -4 0.5 -
9 Whorly Whorly 67 78 65 +13 0.0 -
10 Ice Kingdom 82 80 78 +2 0.0 -
11 Nelson Bay 87 90 77 +13 0.5 -
12 Unsolved Riddle 78 77 73 +4 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points