Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 21 JULY FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lady Writer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dame Of Flames 3 56.0 1 0.00 1.5 68 69 68 +0 2 Hey Siri 2 56.0 2 2.75 0.0 71 75 75 +4 3 Lady Writer 3 55.5 3 4.25 1.5 70 70 70 +0 4 Basetsana 5 52.0 4 4.50 0.0 59 65 65 +6 5 Phoenix 4 61.5 5 5.25 0.5 79 82 82 +3 6 Get It Done 6 56.5 6 6.50 0.0 68 73 73 +5 7 State Of Mind 4 53.0 7 6.75 0.5 62 65 65 +3 8 Respectable Miss 4 53.0 8 8.75 0.5 62 65 65 +3 9 Sugarberry 2 57.0 9 9.25 0.0 73 74 74 +1 10 Crafty Heart 4 52.5 10 14.50 0.5 61 64 64 +3 11 Soft Touch 2 54.0 11 16.75 0.0 67 68 68 +1 12 Maiden's Cove 3 53.0 12 99.98 1.5 56 63 63 +7 99 Double Check 3 58.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 74 74 +0 99 Kavian's Cara 4 52.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 63 63 +0 99 Venus De Milo 3 53.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 64 64 +0 99 Tartan Dancer 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dame Of Flames | 68 | 95 | 68 | +27 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Hey Siri | 71 | 70 | 75 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lady Writer Line | 70 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Basetsana | 59 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Phoenix | 79 | 78 | 82 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Get It Done | 68 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | State Of Mind | 62 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Respectable Miss | 62 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Sugarberry | 73 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Crafty Heart | 61 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Soft Touch | 67 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Maiden's Cove | 56 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Double Check | - | 85 | 74 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Kavian's Cara | - | 56 | 63 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Venus De Milo | - | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tartan Dancer | - | 47 | 64 | -17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points