Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Birdwatcher
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Rockingthetimeaway   3    55.5    1    0.00     0.5   57    54           57    +0
2    Angelic Fort         3    57.5    2    2.10     0.5   61    61           61    +0
3    Shell Seeker         3    57.0    3    2.40     0.5   60    59           59    -1
4    Birdwatcher          5    55.5    4    2.55     0.0   57    57           57    +0
5    Green Dream          5    59.5    5    2.70     0.0   65    65           65    +0
6    Rowins Dream         5    60.0    6    2.75     0.0   68    66           66    -2
7    Alittlebitnaughty    4    60.0    7    3.05     0.5   66    65           65    -1
8    Forged In Ice        3    57.0    8    3.55     0.5   60    58           58    -2
9    English Primrose     3    54.0    9    4.30     0.5   54    51           51    -3
10   Edvige               3    58.5    10   4.35     0.5   63    60           60    -3
11   Drive By             6    58.0    11   4.40     0.0   62    60           60    -2
12   Kitten's Adventure   3    59.5    12   5.80     0.5   65    62           62    -3
99   Ideal Gift           2    55.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     54           54    +0
99   Run Again            3    52.0    99   0.00     0.5   -     47           47    +0
99   Kingsmeads Krystl    3    60.5    99   0.00     0.5   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Rockingthetimeaway 57 62 57 +5 0.5 -
2 Angelic Fort 61 50 61 -11 0.5 -
3 Shell Seeker 60 62 59 +3 0.5 -
4 Birdwatcher Line 57 53 57 -4 0.0
5 Green Dream 65 60 65 -5 0.0 -
6 Rowins Dream 68 48 66 -18 0.0 -
7 Alittlebitnaughty 66 62 65 -3 0.5 -
8 Forged In Ice 60 57 58 -1 0.5 -
9 English Primrose 54 58 51 +7 0.5 -
10 Edvige 63 50 60 -10 0.5 -
11 Drive By 62 68 60 +8 0.0 -
12 Kitten's Adventure 65 58 62 -4 0.5 -
99 Ideal Gift - 71 54 +17 0.0 -
99 Run Again - 48 47 +1 0.5 -
99 Kingsmeads Krystl - 68 64 +4 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points