Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
A Time To Remember
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fiery Duke           3    52.5    1    0.00     4.0   64    45           64    +0
2    Camora               4    53.5    2    0.40     2.5   62    55           55    -7
3    A Time To Remember   4    57.5    3    1.20     2.5   62    62           62    +0
4    Velvet Season        6    55.5    4    1.60     0.0   66    62           62    -4
5    Arrow's Mark         6    57.0    5    1.65     0.0   66    65           65    -1
6    Quest For The Best   4    51.5    6    2.85     2.5   58    48           48    -10
7    Brandenburg          7    57.5    7    3.10     0.0   65    65           65    +0
8    Dinetto              5    48.5    8    3.85     0.0   52    46           46    -6
9    Sovereign Soldier    7    58.5    9    4.90     0.0   64    65           65    +1
10   The Snow War         4    54.0    10   6.00     2.5   60    51           51    -9
11   Jonathan             6    48.5    11   10.30    0.0   52    45           45    -7
99   Valencia             4    56.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     55           55    +0
99   Stand By Me (AUS)    8    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     52           52    +0
99   Patronage            4    61.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     65           65    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fiery Duke 64 72 64 +8 4.0 -
2 Camora 62 81 55 +26 2.5 -
3 A Time To Remember Line 62 53 62 -9 2.5
4 Velvet Season 66 63 62 +1 0.0 -
5 Arrow's Mark 66 54 65 -11 0.0 -
6 Quest For The Best 58 76 48 +28 2.5 -
7 Brandenburg 65 61 65 -4 0.0 -
8 Dinetto 52 50 46 +4 0.0 -
9 Sovereign Soldier 64 58 65 -7 0.0 -
10 The Snow War 60 55 51 +4 2.5 -
11 Jonathan 52 50 45 +5 0.0 -
99 Valencia - 69 55 +14 2.5 -
99 Stand By Me (AUS) - 50 52 -2 0.0 -
99 Patronage - 76 65 +11 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points