Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Canford Ice 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 2 Aberdeen 2 56.0 2 5.80 0.0 - - - +0 3 Jet Bund 2 56.0 3 7.20 0.0 - - - +0 4 Josephine's Pride 2 56.0 4 9.40 0.0 - - - +0 5 Galaxy Explorer 4 56.0 5 9.70 0.5 - - - +0 6 Swift Nicks 3 60.0 6 9.90 1.0 65 - 60 -5 7 Prince Of Dubai 2 56.0 7 10.50 0.0 - - - +0 8 Power Star 2 60.0 8 12.10 0.0 71 - 64 -7 9 Warhawk Bomber 2 54.5 9 12.30 0.0 - - - +0 10 Seattlegreenlight 2 60.0 10 12.40 0.0 66 - 57 -9 11 Double Rugged 3 60.0 11 16.30 1.0 58 - 48 -10 12 Zin Zan Dan 2 52.5 12 34.30 0.0 - - - +0 99 Peaceful Dreams 2 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canford Ice | - | 82 | - | +82 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aberdeen | - | 74 | - | +74 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jet Bund | - | 64 | - | +64 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Josephine's Pride | - | 86 | - | +86 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Galaxy Explorer | - | 60 | - | +60 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Swift Nicks | 65 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Prince Of Dubai | - | 54 | - | +54 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Power Star | 71 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Warhawk Bomber | - | 80 | - | +80 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Seattlegreenlight | 66 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Double Rugged | 58 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Zin Zan Dan | - | 64 | - | +64 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Peaceful Dreams | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points