Official NHA Assessment

Race 2: CAPE RACING MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 102 & below)

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Line Horse
Elusive Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Nordic Chief         4    58.5    1    0.00     4.0   93    91           91    -2
2    Elusive Winter       4    57.0    2    1.25     4.0   88    88           88    +0
3    Mufasa               6    61.5    3    4.50     0.0   102   105          105   +3
4    Arctic Wizard        3    58.5    4    5.00     3.5   98    92           92    -6
5    The Abdicator (IRE)  4    60.0    5    6.25     4.0   96    94           94    -2
6    Gem King             6    61.5    6    7.25     0.0   101   105          105   +4
7    Beechamwood Boy      6    55.5    7    10.50    0.0   84    93           93    +9
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Nordic Chief 93 94 91 +3 4.0 -
2 Elusive Winter Line 88 104 88 +16 4.0
3 Mufasa 102 98 105 -7 0.0 -
4 Arctic Wizard 98 110 92 +18 3.5 -
5 The Abdicator (IRE) 96 94 94 ✓ Match 4.0 -
6 Gem King 101 108 105 +3 0.0 -
7 Beechamwood Boy 84 84 93 -9 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points