Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: WORLD SPORTS BETTING BET WITH THE BEST OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Run For Me
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Director's Cut 3 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 68 66 66 -2 2 Run For Me 2 56.0 2 4.00 0.5 63 63 63 +0 3 Tambourine Man 5 52.5 3 5.50 0.0 50 57 57 +7 3 Mont Loisir 4 58.0 3 5.50 2.0 - 64 64 +64 5 Snow Cloud 3 58.0 5 7.00 1.5 67 65 65 -2 6 Sail The Sky 4 58.0 6 7.40 2.0 - 64 64 +64 7 Look Back 3 61.0 7 10.15 1.5 - 71 71 +71 8 Yzerfontein 2 52.0 8 12.15 0.5 50 55 55 +5 9 Igugulethu 2 58.0 9 12.55 0.5 - 67 67 +67 10 Winning Captain 3 52.5 10 13.55 1.5 52 54 54 +2 11 Moonacres 2 58.0 11 17.55 0.5 - 67 67 +67 12 Donny Tee 4 58.0 12 17.60 2.0 - 64 64 +64 13 Come On You Spurs 2 58.0 13 27.85 0.5 - 67 67 +67 99 October Sun 3 61.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Director's Cut | 68 | 76 | 66 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Run For Me Line | 63 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Tambourine Man | 50 | 64 | 57 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mont Loisir | - | 68 | 64 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Snow Cloud | 67 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Sail The Sky | - | 62 | 64 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Look Back | - | 54 | 71 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Yzerfontein | 50 | 60 | 55 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Igugulethu | - | 83 | 67 | +16 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Winning Captain | 52 | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Moonacres | - | 66 | 67 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Donny Tee | - | 68 | 64 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Come On You Spurs | - | 51 | 67 | -16 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | October Sun | - | 66 | 71 | -5 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points