Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: WWW.SOCCER6.CO.ZA MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Liberty Flag
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Foreverinmydreams 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.5 - 58 6 +6 2 Blup Blup 2 57.0 2 8.25 0.5 - 58 58 +58 3 Liberty Flag 2 60.0 3 12.25 0.5 64 64 64 +0 4 Flying Broomstick 3 60.0 4 13.00 1.5 58 62 62 +4 5 City Lights 4 57.0 5 14.50 2.0 - 55 55 +55 6 Springer 2 57.0 6 14.75 0.5 - 58 58 +58 7 Whistledown 4 57.0 7 17.00 2.0 - 55 55 +55 8 Delphi Dancer 3 60.0 8 18.25 1.5 - 62 62 +62 9 Shine In Memphis 2 54.5 9 19.25 0.5 - 53 53 +53 10 Boom Boom 4 57.0 10 20.25 2.0 - 55 55 +55 11 Secret Recipe 5 57.5 11 21.50 0.0 64 60 60 -4 12 Mambo Line 3 60.0 12 21.75 1.5 - 62 62 +62 13 Wild Willow 3 60.0 13 22.00 1.5 - 62 62 +62 14 Queen Of Verona 2 57.0 14 30.00 0.5 - 58 58 +58 99 Inevitable 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 64 64 +0 99 Wilkies 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 64 64 +0 99 Storm Secret 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Foreverinmydreams | - | 92 | 6 | +86 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Blup Blup | - | 68 | 58 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Liberty Flag Line | 64 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Flying Broomstick | 58 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | City Lights | - | 52 | 55 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Springer | - | 75 | 58 | +17 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Whistledown | - | 63 | 55 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Delphi Dancer | - | 59 | 62 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Shine In Memphis | - | 75 | 53 | +22 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Boom Boom | - | 81 | 55 | +26 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Secret Recipe | 64 | 73 | 60 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mambo Line | - | 41 | 62 | -21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Wild Willow | - | 38 | 62 | -24 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Queen Of Verona | - | 34 | 58 | -24 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Inevitable | - | 74 | 64 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Wilkies | - | 50 | 64 | -14 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Storm Secret | - | 66 | 58 | +8 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points