Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 5 AUGUST MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pewter Sky
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Celtic Rush 5 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 75 72 75 +0 2 Silvano's Song 3 52.0 2 1.00 1.5 72 65 65 -7 3 Pewter Sky 3 57.5 3 1.40 1.5 75 75 75 +0 4 Nothingelsematters 5 55.0 4 2.00 0.0 73 73 73 +0 5 Climate Control 2 57.0 5 3.00 0.0 77 76 76 -1 6 Rule Book 6 59.5 6 3.20 0.0 79 81 81 +2 7 Free Movement 3 60.0 7 3.40 1.5 83 78 78 -5 8 Sea Anemone 5 58.0 8 7.25 0.0 79 76 76 -3 9 Ryan's Dream 3 57.5 9 9.50 1.5 78 72 72 -6 10 Every Cloud 3 58.5 10 12.25 1.5 80 74 74 -6 11 Baby Shooz 5 59.0 11 12.75 0.0 78 78 78 +0 12 American Star 3 59.0 12 20.00 1.5 81 75 75 -6 99 Youcanthurrylove 5 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Youre My Sunshine 3 57.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic Rush | 75 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Silvano's Song | 72 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Pewter Sky Line | 75 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Nothingelsematters | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Climate Control | 77 | 65 | 76 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rule Book | 79 | 92 | 81 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Free Movement | 83 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sea Anemone | 79 | 81 | 76 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ryan's Dream | 78 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Every Cloud | 80 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Baby Shooz | 78 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | American Star | 81 | 83 | 75 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Youcanthurrylove | - | 86 | 74 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Youre My Sunshine | - | 78 | 72 | +6 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points