Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: 4RACING THANKS AND APPRECIATES SEAN TARRY RACING FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Primrose Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Key Element 4 55.5 1 0.00 7.0 85 53 85 +0 2 Primrose Path 2 57.0 2 3.50 0.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Godspeed 2 53.5 3 3.90 0.0 81 64 71 -10 4 Maboneng 3 54.5 4 4.00 9.0 68 48 58 -10 5 Cerulean Dancer 2 52.0 5 4.50 0.0 55 60 60 +5 6 Meet The Captain 4 52.0 6 5.00 7.0 55 46 46 -9 7 Sparkling Jubilee 5 56.5 7 7.00 0.0 70 69 69 -1 8 Miss Shaivi 4 56.5 8 7.75 7.0 87 55 77 -10 9 Just Be Nice 3 60.0 9 8.00 9.0 76 58 66 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Key Element | 85 | 92 | 85 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Primrose Path Line | 71 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Godspeed | 81 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Maboneng | 68 | 67 | 58 | +9 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cerulean Dancer | 55 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Meet The Captain | 55 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sparkling Jubilee | 70 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Miss Shaivi | 87 | 68 | 77 | -9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Just Be Nice | 76 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points