Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Rosy Lemon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Foreshore            2    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   83    68           83    +0
2    Miss Gibson          3    52.5    2    1.50     9.0   54    42           44    -10
3    Rosy Lemon           5    56.5    3    3.50     0.0   66    66           66    +0
4    French Princess      2    55.5    4    4.70     0.0   61    63           63    +2
5    Givers Grace         2    59.0    5    6.30     0.0   85    70           75    -10
6    Two Minds            3    54.5    6    7.10     9.0   59    43           49    -10
7    Devils And Dust      2    61.0    7    7.15     0.0   72    74           74    +2
8    Gelsomina            3    54.0    8    8.15     9.0   57    42           47    -10
9    Forged In Ice        3    54.5    9    99.99    9.0   58    43           48    -10
99   Hot Strike           7    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     56           56    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Foreshore 83 92 83 +9 0.0 -
2 Miss Gibson 54 56 44 +12 9.0 -
3 Rosy Lemon Line 66 72 66 +6 0.0
4 French Princess 61 65 63 +2 0.0 -
5 Givers Grace 85 61 75 -14 0.0 -
6 Two Minds 59 52 49 +3 9.0 -
7 Devils And Dust 72 52 74 -22 0.0 -
8 Gelsomina 57 55 47 +8 9.0 -
9 Forged In Ice 58 57 48 +9 9.0 -
99 Hot Strike - 59 56 +3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points