Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
All About Al
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cafe Culture 3 60.5 1 0.00 8.5 79 60 60 -19 2 Moya Wa Laliga 3 60.0 2 0.75 8.5 78 63 68 -10 3 Yamadori 4 54.5 3 2.25 6.0 84 56 74 -10 4 All About Al 7 61.0 4 2.55 0.0 80 80 80 +0 5 Faire Advantage 3 60.0 5 3.30 8.5 78 60 68 -10 6 Gallic Dream 4 57.0 6 3.70 6.0 89 59 79 -10 7 Lovers Lane 2 57.0 7 4.20 0.0 73 71 71 -2 8 Fort Red 4 59.0 8 4.95 6.0 76 62 66 -10 9 Holy Orders 2 59.0 9 6.70 0.0 77 74 74 -3 10 Forged By Fire 3 55.0 10 7.70 8.5 68 49 58 -10 11 Le Mans 2 60.0 11 10.20 0.0 79 76 76 -3 12 Mighty Mac 5 59.0 12 14.95 0.0 77 74 74 -3 13 Poltergeist 3 56.5 13 99.99 8.5 71 52 61 -10 99 Night Tiger 5 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cafe Culture | 79 | 118 | 60 | +58 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Moya Wa Laliga | 78 | 81 | 68 | +13 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Yamadori | 84 | 97 | 74 | +23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | All About Al Line | 80 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Faire Advantage | 78 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Gallic Dream | 89 | 102 | 79 | +23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lovers Lane | 73 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fort Red | 76 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Holy Orders | 77 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Forged By Fire | 68 | 66 | 58 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Le Mans | 79 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mighty Mac | 77 | 52 | 74 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Poltergeist | 71 | 71 | 61 | +10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Night Tiger | - | 67 | 78 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points