Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BOOK A TABLE CALL 0116811796 NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Black Lightning
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Napoleon 3 56.0 1 0.00 9.0 70 49 70 +0 2 Black Lightning 2 54.0 2 1.00 0.0 67 67 67 +0 3 American Biscuit 3 60.0 3 1.10 9.0 79 61 69 -10 4 Godfather 2 55.0 4 3.50 0.0 69 66 66 -3 5 Thambi 5 55.5 5 4.50 0.0 70 66 66 -4 6 Silver Sanctuary 4 55.5 6 4.75 7.0 87 52 77 -10 7 King's Express 3 57.5 7 6.25 9.0 74 52 64 -10 8 Prince Of Kildare 4 54.0 8 9.75 7.0 84 49 74 -10 9 Lizado 3 52.0 9 11.00 9.0 44 41 41 -3 99 Mo The Man 3 59.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Primrose Path 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoleon | 70 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Black Lightning Line | 67 | 64 | 67 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | American Biscuit | 79 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Godfather | 69 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Thambi | 70 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Sanctuary | 87 | 117 | 77 | +40 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | King's Express | 74 | 102 | 64 | +38 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Prince Of Kildare | 84 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lizado | 44 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mo The Man | - | 83 | 55 | +28 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Primrose Path | - | 77 | 67 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points