Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 19 AUGUST FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
One Fell Swoop
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
17 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Law Of Success 3 57.5 1 0.00 10.5 67 74 67 +0 2 Wings Within Me 4 60.0 2 0.75 12.0 86 76 76 -10 3 Raining Rubies 5 56.5 3 1.25 0.0 65 93 93 +28 4 One Fell Swoop 2 58.5 4 2.25 7.0 83 83 83 +0 5 Mix The Magic 3 52.0 5 3.00 10.5 55 63 63 +8 6 Nettleton 3 58.5 6 4.75 10.5 69 76 76 +7 7 Gimme The Flame 5 52.0 7 5.00 0.0 56 84 84 +28 8 Risky Business 3 52.0 8 5.25 10.5 52 63 63 +11 9 Mighty Goddess 2 58.0 9 6.00 7.0 71 82 82 +11 10 Red Carpet Girl 3 53.0 10 6.75 10.5 58 65 65 +7 11 Benguela Cove 3 60.5 11 8.50 10.5 73 80 80 +7 12 Simply Magic 3 59.0 12 9.25 10.5 70 77 77 +7 13 Dancing Dora 6 57.5 13 9.50 0.0 72 95 95 +23 14 Storm Jewel 3 52.0 14 12.50 10.5 54 63 63 +9 15 Whatyouwaitingfor 2 59.5 15 12.75 7.0 71 85 85 +14 16 Camerata 2 52.0 16 17.50 7.0 56 70 70 +14 99 Feather The Nest 4 53.5 99 0.00 12.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Law Of Success | 67 | 81 | 67 | +14 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Wings Within Me | 86 | 88 | 76 | +12 | 12.0 | - | |
| 3 | Raining Rubies | 65 | 75 | 93 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | One Fell Swoop Line | 83 | 97 | 83 | +14 | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | Mix The Magic | 55 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Nettleton | 69 | 100 | 76 | +24 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gimme The Flame | 56 | 50 | 84 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Risky Business | 52 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mighty Goddess | 71 | 73 | 82 | -9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Red Carpet Girl | 58 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Benguela Cove | 73 | 62 | 80 | -18 | 10.5 | - | |
| 12 | Simply Magic | 70 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 13 | Dancing Dora | 72 | 53 | 95 | -42 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Storm Jewel | 54 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 10.5 | - | |
| 15 | Whatyouwaitingfor | 71 | 66 | 85 | -19 | 7.0 | - | |
| 16 | Camerata | 56 | 49 | 70 | -21 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Feather The Nest | - | 54 | 63 | -9 | 12.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points