Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Mccartney
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Sea Vista            2    58.0    1    0.00     7.0   74    73           74    +0
2    Ndaka                3    53.0    2    2.00     10.5  56    56           56    +0
3    Mccartney            3    55.0    3    3.10     10.5  60    60           60    +0
4    Senor Garcia         3    57.5    4    3.90     10.5  65    65           65    +0
5    Northern Warrior     7    60.5    5    4.50     0.0   71    92           92    +21
6    Buster Keaton        3    57.5    6    4.55     10.5  65    65           65    +0
7    Gimme A Rainbow      4    58.0    7    4.80     12.0  74    63           64    -10
7    Eddie The Mover      2    62.0    7    4.80     7.0   74    81           81    +7
9    L'Ultimo             2    58.5    9    5.60     7.0   70    74           74    +4
10   Roy's July Magic     4    54.5    10   6.30     12.0  58    56           56    -2
11   Allaroundtheworld (  3    54.5    11   6.45     10.5  59    59           59    +0
12   Trade War            3    57.0    12   6.85     10.5  72    64           64    -8
13   Red Mahogany         3    55.5    13   7.25     10.5  61    61           61    +0
14   Geronimo             4    52.0    14   8.05     12.0  51    51           51    +0
15   Saipan               5    52.5    15   11.75    0.0   53    76           76    +23
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sea Vista 74 83 74 +9 7.0 -
2 Ndaka 56 61 56 +5 10.5 -
3 Mccartney Line 60 54 60 -6 10.5
4 Senor Garcia 65 67 65 +2 10.5 -
5 Northern Warrior 71 73 92 -19 0.0 -
6 Buster Keaton 65 60 65 -5 10.5 -
7 Gimme A Rainbow 74 74 64 +10 12.0 -
7 Eddie The Mover 74 76 81 -5 7.0 -
9 L'Ultimo 70 61 74 -13 7.0 -
10 Roy's July Magic 58 48 56 -8 12.0 -
11 Allaroundtheworld (GB) 59 73 59 +14 10.5 -
12 Trade War 72 70 64 +6 10.5 -
13 Red Mahogany 61 48 61 -13 10.5 -
14 Geronimo 51 50 51 -1 12.0 -
15 Saipan 53 52 76 -24 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points