Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: DOWNLOAD THE RACE CARD ONLINE www.goldcircle.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Future Flo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
17 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Perfect Outlook 3 60.0 1 0.00 10.5 - 96 6 +6 2 King Pelles 3 58.0 2 0.20 10.5 - 92 92 +92 3 Future Flo 4 56.5 3 0.35 12.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Gorgeous Guy 2 58.0 4 1.55 7.0 86 99 99 +13 5 Last One Standing 3 58.0 5 2.65 10.5 - 92 92 +92 6 Master Fuego 3 58.0 6 2.85 10.5 - 92 92 +92 7 Teerex 4 58.0 7 3.00 12.0 78 89 89 +11 8 Fire Tonic 3 60.0 8 3.25 10.5 65 96 96 +31 9 Catavar 4 58.0 9 7.35 12.0 - 89 89 +89 10 Ibiza Night 2 60.0 10 8.55 7.0 48 103 103 +55 11 Mount Meru 4 60.0 11 8.85 12.0 - 93 93 +93 12 Red Mountain 4 58.0 12 9.10 12.0 - 89 89 +89 13 Accommodator 3 58.0 13 13.20 10.5 - 92 92 +92 14 Zero Dawn 3 58.0 14 19.80 10.5 - 92 92 +92 15 Lucky Murphy 3 58.0 15 20.10 10.5 - 92 92 +92 99 Sir William 3 60.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 96 96 +0 99 Bunting 4 60.0 99 0.00 12.0 - 93 93 +0 99 Van Meijel 3 60.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perfect Outlook | - | 77 | 6 | +71 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | King Pelles | - | 122 | 92 | +30 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Future Flo Line | 86 | 95 | 86 | +9 | 12.0 | ||
| 4 | Gorgeous Guy | 86 | 81 | 99 | -18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Last One Standing | - | 93 | 92 | +1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Master Fuego | - | 102 | 92 | +10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Teerex | 78 | 66 | 89 | -23 | 12.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fire Tonic | 65 | 72 | 96 | -24 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Catavar | - | 64 | 89 | -25 | 12.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ibiza Night | 48 | 63 | 103 | -40 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mount Meru | - | 50 | 93 | -43 | 12.0 | - | |
| 12 | Red Mountain | - | 77 | 89 | -12 | 12.0 | - | |
| 13 | Accommodator | - | 38 | 92 | -54 | 10.5 | - | |
| 14 | Zero Dawn | - | 55 | 92 | -37 | 10.5 | - | |
| 15 | Lucky Murphy | - | 57 | 92 | -35 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Sir William | - | 59 | 96 | -37 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bunting | - | 58 | 93 | -35 | 12.0 | - | |
| 99 | Van Meijel | - | 54 | 96 | -42 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points