Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACE MEETING THURSDAY 24 AUGUST FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Ice Star
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Miss Soho 2 54.5 1 0.00 7.0 68 82 68 +0 2 Mix The Magic 3 52.0 2 1.25 10.5 55 70 70 +15 3 Ice Star 2 59.0 3 2.35 7.0 91 91 91 +0 4 Meet The Captain 4 52.0 4 2.50 12.0 55 67 67 +12 5 Risky Business 3 52.0 5 2.75 10.5 52 70 70 +18 6 Dancing Dora 6 58.5 6 3.00 0.0 71 104 104 +33 7 Gimme The Flame 5 52.0 7 3.75 0.0 54 91 91 +37 8 Alabama Anna 6 54.0 8 4.75 0.0 70 95 95 +25 9 Raining Rubies 5 56.5 9 5.75 0.0 67 100 100 +33 10 Feather The Nest 4 52.0 10 6.50 12.0 58 67 67 +9 11 Blindedbythelights 2 52.0 11 7.50 7.0 54 77 77 +23 12 Benguela Cove 3 58.0 12 8.00 10.5 70 82 82 +12 13 Blue Waters 2 52.0 13 8.25 7.0 58 77 77 +19 14 Prayuponastar 3 52.0 14 9.50 10.5 54 70 70 +16 15 Micke's Bomb 4 56.5 15 11.25 12.0 81 76 76 -5 16 Splendid Season 2 52.5 16 16.50 7.0 58 78 78 +20 99 Storm Jewel 3 52.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miss Soho | 68 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mix The Magic | 55 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ice Star Line | 91 | 112 | 91 | +21 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Meet The Captain | 55 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Risky Business | 52 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Dancing Dora | 71 | 53 | 104 | -51 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gimme The Flame | 54 | 50 | 91 | -41 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Alabama Anna | 70 | 73 | 95 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Raining Rubies | 67 | 75 | 100 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Feather The Nest | 58 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 12.0 | - | |
| 11 | Blindedbythelights | 54 | 51 | 77 | -26 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Benguela Cove | 70 | 62 | 82 | -20 | 10.5 | - | |
| 13 | Blue Waters | 58 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 14 | Prayuponastar | 54 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 10.5 | - | |
| 15 | Micke's Bomb | 81 | 60 | 76 | -16 | 12.0 | - | |
| 16 | Splendid Season | 58 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Storm Jewel | - | 48 | 70 | -22 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points