Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Absolutely Fab
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Absolutely Fab 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 58 58 58 +0 2 A Foreign Affair 3 60.0 2 3.50 3.0 58 57 57 -1 3 Royal Welcome 3 60.0 3 5.00 3.0 52 56 56 +4 4 Jungle Promise 3 60.0 4 5.75 3.0 64 56 56 -8 5 Mystery Trip 5 60.0 5 7.50 0.0 47 62 62 +15 6 Meadow Beauty 3 60.0 6 8.75 3.0 58 56 56 -2 7 Route Sixty Six 3 57.5 7 10.00 3.0 65 51 55 -10 8 Gailiea 3 60.0 8 10.50 3.0 - 56 56 +56 9 Fort Snow 4 60.0 9 13.25 2.0 52 58 58 +6 10 Libertarian 4 60.0 10 16.50 2.0 30 58 58 +28 11 Helencanucope 3 60.0 11 23.25 3.0 60 56 56 -4 99 Hot To Trot 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Absolutely Fab Line | 58 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 2.0 | ||
| 2 | A Foreign Affair | 58 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Royal Welcome | 52 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Jungle Promise | 64 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mystery Trip | 47 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Meadow Beauty | 58 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Route Sixty Six | 65 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gailiea | - | 50 | 56 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fort Snow | 52 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Libertarian | 30 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Helencanucope | 60 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hot To Trot | - | 67 | 56 | +11 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points