Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING POLY CHALLENGE 1200 (Open - Leg 1 (Non-Blk Type))
Line Horse
Inherit The Rain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Prince Of Fire 3 62.0 1 0.00 10.5 105 107 107 +2 2 Cliff Top 2 62.0 2 0.10 7.0 116 114 114 -2 3 Gallic Tribe 4 59.5 3 0.20 12.0 95 99 99 +4 4 Port Louis 2 62.0 4 0.95 7.0 110 114 114 +4 5 What A Winner 10 59.5 5 2.45 0.0 94 123 123 +29 6 Inherit The Rain 4 62.0 6 2.70 12.0 104 104 104 +0 7 Slim Jannie 2 59.5 7 3.95 7.0 93 109 109 +16 8 Naval Secret 4 60.0 8 4.05 12.0 92 100 100 +8 9 Whatever Next 6 61.0 9 5.55 0.0 97 126 126 +29 10 Ledell's Echo 2 59.5 10 7.55 7.0 92 109 109 +17 11 Captain Morisco 4 59.5 11 7.80 12.0 93 99 99 +6 12 Safe Return 3 62.0 12 8.30 10.5 103 107 107 +4 13 Transact 3 56.5 13 8.80 10.5 85 96 96 +11 99 Silver Tycoon 7 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 111 111 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prince Of Fire | 105 | 104 | 107 | -3 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Cliff Top | 116 | 109 | 114 | -5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gallic Tribe | 95 | 101 | 99 | +2 | 12.0 | - | |
| 4 | Port Louis | 110 | 106 | 114 | -8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | What A Winner | 94 | 75 | 123 | -48 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Inherit The Rain Line | 104 | 98 | 104 | -6 | 12.0 | ||
| 7 | Slim Jannie | 93 | 95 | 109 | -14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Naval Secret | 92 | 91 | 100 | -9 | 12.0 | - | |
| 9 | Whatever Next | 97 | 73 | 126 | -53 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ledell's Echo | 92 | 88 | 109 | -21 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Captain Morisco | 93 | 92 | 99 | -7 | 12.0 | - | |
| 12 | Safe Return | 103 | 83 | 107 | -24 | 10.5 | - | |
| 13 | Transact | 85 | 77 | 96 | -19 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Silver Tycoon | - | 74 | 111 | -37 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points