Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
The Green Gallant
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dance To The Music 3 60.0 1 0.00 10.5 62 37 37 -25 2 Trip To Nebraska 2 56.5 2 2.50 0.0 59 55 55 -4 3 The Green Gallant 6 60.0 3 3.50 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Wildstyle 2 60.0 4 6.20 0.0 66 58 58 -8 5 True Trojan 3 60.0 5 7.10 10.5 63 37 53 -10 6 La Dreamer 3 52.5 6 7.60 10.5 49 22 39 -10 7 Josephine's Pride 2 55.0 7 9.70 0.0 82 48 72 -10 8 Triton 3 60.0 8 9.75 10.5 60 37 50 -10 9 Excalibur Calls 2 56.0 9 16.85 0.0 66 50 56 -10 10 Reach Forthe Stars 5 60.0 10 22.65 0.0 66 58 58 -8 11 Westockmarketborse 2 51.5 11 23.05 0.0 63 41 53 -10 12 Lemon Scent 3 56.5 12 35.95 10.5 52 30 42 -10 99 Player X 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 48 48 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dance To The Music | 62 | 61 | 37 | +24 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Trip To Nebraska | 59 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | The Green Gallant Line | 60 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Wildstyle | 66 | 62 | 58 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | True Trojan | 63 | 64 | 53 | +11 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | La Dreamer | 49 | 48 | 39 | +9 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Josephine's Pride | 82 | 86 | 72 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Triton | 60 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Excalibur Calls | 66 | 62 | 56 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Reach Forthe Stars | 66 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Westockmarketborse | 63 | 74 | 53 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lemon Scent | 52 | 58 | 42 | +16 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Player X | - | 65 | 48 | +17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points