Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Lucky Dollar
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Thisiswhatitmeans    4    58.5    1    0.00     12.0  88    64           88    +0
2    Rugger Bugger        3    57.0    2    0.30     10.5  71    64           64    -7
3    Lucky Dollar         2    55.5    3    1.40     7.0   68    68           68    +0
4    Trade War            3    56.5    4    2.50     10.5  70    63           63    -7
5    Licence To Thrill    4    59.0    5    3.40     12.0  89    65           79    -10
6    Tribute To You       4    61.5    6    3.45     12.0  80    70           70    -10
7    Seattle Ripper       2    58.5    7    4.55     7.0   88    74           78    -10
8    Northern Warrior     7    56.0    8    5.15     0.0   69    83           83    +14
9    Knight Warrior       5    61.5    9    5.25     0.0   80    94           94    +14
10   Honshu               2    57.5    10   5.65     7.0   86    72           76    -10
11   Hunza Road           2    57.0    11   7.15     7.0   85    71           75    -10
99   Ampersand            2    58.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     74           74    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Thisiswhatitmeans 88 106 88 +18 12.0 -
2 Rugger Bugger 71 77 64 +13 10.5 -
3 Lucky Dollar Line 68 85 68 +17 7.0
4 Trade War 70 70 63 +7 10.5 -
5 Licence To Thrill 89 98 79 +19 12.0 -
6 Tribute To You 80 90 70 +20 12.0 -
7 Seattle Ripper 88 59 78 -19 7.0 -
8 Northern Warrior 69 73 83 -10 0.0 -
9 Knight Warrior 80 74 94 -20 0.0 -
10 Honshu 86 71 76 -5 7.0 -
11 Hunza Road 85 72 75 -3 7.0 -
99 Ampersand - 83 74 +9 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points