Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 1 SEPTEMBER MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Globetonic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Captain Casanova 3 59.0 1 0.00 10.5 76 55 76 +0 2 Narcos 3 58.5 2 1.25 10.5 75 54 65 -10 3 Joyous Jubilee (AUS 2 52.0 3 3.25 7.0 61 48 51 -10 4 Warbonnet Creek (IR 4 52.0 4 4.00 12.0 61 38 51 -10 5 Globetonic 6 56.5 5 4.25 0.0 71 71 71 +0 6 Notorix 6 56.0 6 4.75 0.0 70 70 70 +0 7 Cruzador 6 59.5 7 5.00 0.0 77 77 77 +0 8 Bethel 6 56.0 8 5.10 0.0 70 70 70 +0 9 Queen's Wood 3 60.0 9 6.60 10.5 78 57 68 -10 10 Russian Empire 5 56.0 10 8.85 0.0 70 70 70 +0 11 Watch Tower 2 55.0 11 9.35 7.0 82 54 72 -10 12 Storm Dictator 3 57.0 12 14.85 10.5 72 51 62 -10 99 Caitlyns Boy 2 61.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 66 66 +0 99 Victory Of Dubai 3 57.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 51 51 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Captain Casanova | 76 | 85 | 76 | +9 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Narcos | 75 | 86 | 65 | +21 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Joyous Jubilee (AUS) | 61 | 61 | 51 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Warbonnet Creek (IRE) | 61 | 56 | 51 | +5 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Globetonic Line | 71 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Notorix | 70 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Cruzador | 77 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bethel | 70 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Queen's Wood | 78 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 10 | Russian Empire | 70 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Watch Tower | 82 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Storm Dictator | 72 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Caitlyns Boy | - | 71 | 66 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Victory Of Dubai | - | 70 | 51 | +19 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points