Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 2 SEPTEMBER MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dark Tide
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tuscan Gold 2 56.5 1 0.00 7.0 68 54 68 +0 2 Ziyasha 2 60.5 2 0.25 7.0 90 62 80 -10 3 Dark Tide 5 54.0 3 2.75 0.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Super Awesome 4 58.5 4 4.75 12.0 86 48 76 -10 5 Successful Secret 4 60.0 5 6.55 12.0 75 51 65 -10 6 Var Park 5 58.0 6 6.75 0.0 71 71 71 +0 7 King Rahul 4 58.0 7 7.75 12.0 85 47 75 -10 8 Here Is The Tiger 3 58.5 8 8.35 10.5 72 51 62 -10 9 Stormy Seas 4 61.0 9 13.75 12.0 77 53 67 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuscan Gold | 68 | 84 | 68 | +16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ziyasha | 90 | 118 | 80 | +38 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dark Tide Line | 63 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Super Awesome | 86 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Successful Secret | 75 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Var Park | 71 | 87 | 71 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | King Rahul | 85 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 12.0 | - | |
| 8 | Here Is The Tiger | 72 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Stormy Seas | 77 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 12.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points