Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Misty Cliffs
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Enemy Territory (IR 3 60.0 1 0.00 8.5 81 60 60 -21 2 Little Miss Pink 6 58.0 2 1.00 0.0 74 77 77 +3 3 Misty Cliffs 2 54.5 3 3.00 0.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Flying First 2 61.0 4 4.25 0.0 81 80 80 -1 5 Senhora Victoria 3 58.0 5 5.00 8.5 74 56 64 -10 6 Beneath The Moon 2 55.0 6 5.40 0.0 69 67 67 -2 7 Hear My Voice 2 59.0 7 5.60 0.0 77 75 75 -2 8 The Agents Muse 2 53.0 8 6.35 0.0 65 63 63 -2 9 Act Naturally 2 58.5 9 7.10 0.0 76 74 74 -2 10 Strawberry Light 3 58.5 10 7.20 8.5 76 57 66 -10 11 Summer Night City 5 54.5 11 7.95 0.0 68 66 66 -2 12 De Janeiro 2 52.0 12 9.70 0.0 77 61 67 -10 13 Shikoku 3 49.5 13 10.95 8.5 58 39 48 -10 99 Black Path 6 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 99 Defender Of Rights 3 54.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 49 49 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enemy Territory (IRE) | 81 | 99 | 60 | +39 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Little Miss Pink | 74 | 66 | 77 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Misty Cliffs Line | 68 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Flying First | 81 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Senhora Victoria | 74 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Beneath The Moon | 69 | 59 | 67 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hear My Voice | 77 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Agents Muse | 65 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Act Naturally | 76 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Strawberry Light | 76 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Summer Night City | 68 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | De Janeiro | 77 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Shikoku | 58 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Black Path | - | 58 | 61 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Defender Of Rights | - | 67 | 49 | +18 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points