Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: BETWAY AVIATOR WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 WIN BONUS RA MEMBERS)
Line Horse
Miss Tucker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Valyrian Sword 2 58.0 1 0.00 6.5 65 63 63 -2 2 Miss Tucker 3 57.5 2 0.25 9.5 56 56 56 +0 3 Raptor Island 2 60.0 3 1.50 6.5 67 67 67 +0 4 Western Jack 3 60.0 4 1.75 9.5 55 61 61 +6 5 Maldano 3 58.0 5 1.85 9.5 - 57 57 +57 6 Bridgerton 2 58.0 6 4.35 6.5 73 63 63 -10 7 Seethebadge 2 58.0 7 6.85 6.5 70 63 63 -7 8 Chalcos 2 58.0 8 7.10 6.5 - 63 63 +63 9 Deep Dive 3 60.0 9 7.60 9.5 18 61 61 +43 10 Goosebumps 2 58.5 10 9.35 6.5 77 64 67 -10 11 Howe Of Fife 4 60.0 11 16.10 11.0 - 58 58 +58 12 Greek Mafia 5 60.0 12 23.85 0.0 49 80 80 +31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valyrian Sword | 65 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Miss Tucker Line | 56 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 9.5 | ||
| 3 | Raptor Island | 67 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 6.5 | - | |
| 4 | Western Jack | 55 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Maldano | - | 60 | 57 | +3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bridgerton | 73 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 6.5 | - | |
| 7 | Seethebadge | 70 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | Chalcos | - | 60 | 63 | -3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Deep Dive | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Goosebumps | 77 | 75 | 67 | +8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 11 | Howe Of Fife | - | 10 | 58 | -48 | 11.0 | - | |
| 12 | Greek Mafia | 49 | 45 | 80 | -35 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points