Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 8 FEBRUARY FM 71 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Pam's Princess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Paris Opera 4 58.0 1 0.00 5.0 67 72 67 +0 2 Pam's Princess 3 57.5 2 0.25 4.5 72 72 72 +0 3 Princess Of Winter 4 55.0 3 0.50 5.0 61 66 66 +5 4 Catch The Cat 3 57.5 4 0.60 4.5 77 72 72 -5 5 Blindlove 3 56.5 5 2.10 4.5 70 70 70 +0 6 Buttercup 3 55.5 6 2.85 4.5 68 68 68 +0 7 Subterfuge 4 52.0 7 2.95 5.0 51 60 60 +9 8 Quick Count 3 54.0 8 3.70 4.5 65 65 65 +0 9 What A Blizzard 3 59.5 9 4.95 4.5 76 76 76 +0 10 Princess Santo 4 52.5 10 6.20 5.0 56 61 61 +5 11 All Things Nice 3 56.5 11 7.45 4.5 70 70 70 +0 12 Decadent Lady 5 54.0 12 7.95 0.0 59 74 74 +15 13 Runaway Princess 3 57.0 13 8.45 4.5 71 71 71 +0 14 Satara 6 52.5 14 9.20 0.0 54 71 71 +17 15 Madame Patrice 5 50.5 15 11.45 0.0 50 67 67 +17 16 After The Storm 4 56.5 16 13.70 5.0 64 69 69 +5 99 Quenanza 4 58.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Opera | 67 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pam's Princess Line | 72 | 82 | 72 | +10 | 4.5 | ||
| 3 | Princess Of Winter | 61 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Catch The Cat | 77 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Blindlove | 70 | 55 | 70 | -15 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Buttercup | 68 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Subterfuge | 51 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Quick Count | 65 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | What A Blizzard | 76 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Princess Santo | 56 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | All Things Nice | 70 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Decadent Lady | 59 | 54 | 74 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Runaway Princess | 71 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 14 | Satara | 54 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Madame Patrice | 50 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | After The Storm | 64 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Quenanza | - | 49 | 72 | -23 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points