Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BETWAY SPRING SPREE STAKES (Listed) (Open)
Line Horse
Texas Red
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quantum Theory 5 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 107 107 107 +0 2 Sheldon 6 60.0 2 0.50 0.0 110 110 110 +0 3 Texas Red 5 52.0 3 3.00 0.0 94 94 94 +0 4 Union Square 2 60.5 4 3.50 6.5 111 98 101 -10 5 Smorgasbord 6 59.5 5 3.75 0.0 109 109 109 +0 6 Bard Of Avon 3 55.0 6 4.00 9.5 100 81 90 -10 7 Val d'Orcia 3 56.5 7 4.30 9.5 103 84 93 -10 8 Thunderstone 2 52.5 8 5.30 6.5 95 82 85 -10 9 Team Gold 3 56.5 9 6.80 9.5 103 84 93 -10 10 Far Away Winter 2 56.0 10 10.20 6.5 102 89 92 -10 11 Godswood 4 58.0 11 12.45 11.0 106 84 96 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quantum Theory | 107 | 112 | 107 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sheldon | 110 | 106 | 110 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Texas Red Line | 94 | 119 | 94 | +25 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Union Square | 111 | 110 | 101 | +9 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Smorgasbord | 109 | 77 | 109 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bard Of Avon | 100 | 105 | 90 | +15 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Val d'Orcia | 103 | 105 | 93 | +12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Thunderstone | 95 | 86 | 85 | +1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Team Gold | 103 | 97 | 93 | +4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Far Away Winter | 102 | 99 | 92 | +7 | 6.5 | - | |
| 11 | Godswood | 106 | 106 | 96 | +10 | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points