Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Mr Pigalle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Syx Hotfix           3    61.5    1    0.00     8.5   85    77           85    +0
2    Monarchy             5    58.5    2    1.10     0.0   79    92           92    +13
3    Mr Pigalle           4    57.0    3    1.40     6.0   76    76           76    +0
4    Let The Flag Fly     2    58.0    4    1.70     0.0   95    90           90    -5
5    Corsican             2    53.0    5    2.50     0.0   69    79           79    +10
6    Little Prince        3    54.5    6    2.55     8.5   71    65           65    -6
7    Ibutho               7    59.5    7    2.60     0.0   81    92           92    +11
8    Aerial Display       5    59.0    8    3.10     0.0   81    91           91    +10
9    Action Stations      2    51.0    9    5.60     0.0   73    73           73    +0
10   Crested Eagle        3    54.0    10   5.85     8.5   73    62           63    -10
99   Dowser               5    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     90           90    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Syx Hotfix 85 83 85 -2 8.5 -
2 Monarchy 79 77 92 -15 0.0 -
3 Mr Pigalle Line 76 68 76 -8 6.0
4 Let The Flag Fly 95 78 90 -12 0.0 -
5 Corsican 69 61 79 -18 0.0 -
6 Little Prince 71 73 65 +8 8.5 -
7 Ibutho 81 83 92 -9 0.0 -
8 Aerial Display 81 68 91 -23 0.0 -
9 Action Stations 73 71 73 -2 0.0 -
10 Crested Eagle 73 51 63 -12 8.5 -
99 Dowser - 84 90 -6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points