Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Diani
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Quandary             5    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   82    82           82    +0
2    Lord Wylie           7    57.0    2    0.60     0.0   82    82           82    +0
3    Diani                5    59.0    3    1.30     0.0   86    86           86    +0
4    Winter Baron         2    54.0    4    1.60     6.5   84    63           74    -10
5    Patronage            4    57.5    5    4.40     11.0  86    61           76    -10
6    El Dante             7    52.5    6    5.10     0.0   73    73           73    +0
7    Masterbling          3    52.5    7    5.20     9.5   72    54           62    -10
8    Perfect Outlook      3    54.5    8    5.35     9.5   77    58           67    -10
9    Twice The Storm      2    57.0    9    6.45     6.5   82    69           72    -10
10   The Gliding Fish     6    52.0    10   6.85     0.0   71    72           72    +1
11   Dockofthebay         3    59.5    11   8.55     9.5   87    68           77    -10
12   Neitherherenorther   3    57.0    12   10.05    9.5   82    63           72    -10
13   Meetatthewindsor     5    53.0    13   11.05    0.0   74    74           74    +0
14   Ultra Quick          6    59.0    14   12.85    0.0   86    86           86    +0
15   Love In Winter       4    61.0    15   13.00    11.0  90    68           80    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Quandary 82 88 82 +6 0.0 -
2 Lord Wylie 82 69 82 -13 0.0 -
3 Diani Line 86 96 86 +10 0.0
4 Winter Baron 84 81 74 +7 6.5 -
5 Patronage 86 76 76 ✓ Match 11.0 -
6 El Dante 73 87 73 +14 0.0 -
7 Masterbling 72 74 62 +12 9.5 -
8 Perfect Outlook 77 77 67 +10 9.5 -
9 Twice The Storm 82 73 72 +1 6.5 -
10 The Gliding Fish 71 68 72 -4 0.0 -
11 Dockofthebay 87 71 77 -6 9.5 -
12 Neitherherenorther 82 90 72 +18 9.5 -
13 Meetatthewindsor 74 76 74 +2 0.0 -
14 Ultra Quick 86 71 86 -15 0.0 -
15 Love In Winter 90 74 80 -6 11.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points