Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: CAPE RACING SALES CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Faire Advantage
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rule Of Thumb 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 86 80 +6 2 Faire Advantage 3 60.0 2 1.25 8.5 78 78 78 +0 3 Lunch Money 3 59.5 3 3.00 8.5 78 75 75 -3 4 Shavout 4 60.0 4 3.40 6.0 78 80 80 +2 5 Bardolino 2 57.5 5 3.80 0.0 74 87 87 +13 6 Forged By Fire 3 55.5 6 4.30 8.5 68 65 65 -3 7 Tothemoonandback 5 56.5 7 5.30 0.0 72 84 84 +12 8 Mister Monocle 4 59.5 8 5.40 6.0 77 78 78 +1 9 Pineapple Express 3 60.5 9 6.90 8.5 79 75 75 -4 10 Thunder Master 6 60.5 10 13.90 0.0 79 92 92 +13 11 Max The Otter 2 60.5 11 15.40 0.0 80 92 92 +12 12 Le Mans 2 59.0 12 17.65 0.0 77 89 89 +12 99 Kimball O'Hara 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rule Of Thumb | 74 | 86 | 80 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Faire Advantage Line | 78 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 8.5 | ||
| 3 | Lunch Money | 78 | 70 | 75 | -5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Shavout | 78 | 70 | 80 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bardolino | 74 | 79 | 87 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Forged By Fire | 68 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Tothemoonandback | 72 | 69 | 84 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mister Monocle | 77 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Pineapple Express | 79 | 82 | 75 | +7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Thunder Master | 79 | 80 | 92 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Max The Otter | 80 | 72 | 92 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Le Mans | 77 | 74 | 89 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kimball O'Hara | - | 61 | 83 | -22 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points