Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BETWAY BACK THE BOKS MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Trip To States
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Duke Of Rock 3 57.5 1 0.00 9.5 - 44 6 +6 2 Theres A Light 4 58.0 2 0.25 11.0 - 42 42 +42 3 Trip To States 5 60.0 3 1.25 0.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Peak Predator 4 58.0 4 3.50 11.0 - 42 42 +42 5 Eiger Sanction 3 58.0 5 4.75 9.5 - 45 45 +45 6 Bregardt 4 58.0 6 5.00 11.0 85 42 75 -10 7 Trexcellent 2 58.0 7 99.99 6.5 - 51 51 +51 99 Anamericaninvenice 2 58.0 99 0.00 6.5 - 51 51 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke Of Rock | - | 76 | 6 | +70 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Theres A Light | - | 76 | 42 | +34 | 11.0 | - | |
| 3 | Trip To States Line | 68 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Peak Predator | - | 57 | 42 | +15 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Eiger Sanction | - | 79 | 45 | +34 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bregardt | 85 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 11.0 | - | |
| 7 | Trexcellent | - | - | 51 | -51 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Anamericaninvenice | - | 76 | 51 | +25 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points