Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Lazy Guy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Winter Waves         7    60.5    1    0.00     0.0   67    89           67    +0
2    Lazy Guy             4    59.0    2    0.10     11.0  64    64           64    +0
3    Buster Keaton        3    60.0    3    0.20     9.5   66    69           69    +3
4    Intrepid             3    61.0    4    2.30     9.5   68    71           71    +3
5    Quanabi              2    58.0    5    2.70     6.5   62    71           71    +9
6    Drogarati            4    54.5    6    3.10     11.0  63    55           55    -8
7    Oh My Word Its Roy   3    52.5    7    3.25     9.5   47    54           54    +7
8    Northern Warrior     7    60.5    8    3.45     0.0   67    89           89    +22
9    Impartial            4    52.5    9    3.65     11.0  51    51           51    +0
10   Ndaka                3    55.5    10   5.45     9.5   57    60           60    +3
11   Roy's July Magic     4    53.5    11   7.55     11.0  53    53           53    +0
12   Lord Edward          2    55.5    12   7.75     6.5   60    66           66    +6
13   Magwinya             2    57.0    13   9.25     6.5   60    69           69    +9
14   Pantea               3    58.5    14   15.25    9.5   63    66           66    +3
99   Trade War            3    61.0    99   0.00     9.5   -     71           71    +0
99   Purple Powahouse     8    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     86           86    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Winter Waves 67 77 67 +10 0.0 -
2 Lazy Guy Line 64 61 64 -3 11.0
3 Buster Keaton 66 60 69 -9 9.5 -
4 Intrepid 68 73 71 +2 9.5 -
5 Quanabi 62 70 71 -1 6.5 -
6 Drogarati 63 52 55 -3 11.0 -
7 Oh My Word Its Roy 47 50 54 -4 9.5 -
8 Northern Warrior 67 73 89 -16 0.0 -
9 Impartial 51 50 51 -1 11.0 -
10 Ndaka 57 61 60 +1 9.5 -
11 Roy's July Magic 53 48 53 -5 11.0 -
12 Lord Edward 60 52 66 -14 6.5 -
13 Magwinya 60 50 69 -19 6.5 -
14 Pantea 63 57 66 -9 9.5 -
99 Trade War - 70 71 -1 9.5 -
99 Purple Powahouse - 55 86 -31 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points