Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
What A Blast
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Waves 7 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 61 59 61 +0 2 Sonjador 5 56.0 2 0.70 0.0 62 62 62 +0 3 What A Blast 6 57.5 3 2.30 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Ciro 4 53.5 4 3.20 2.0 59 50 50 -9 5 Flying Vision 4 56.5 5 3.25 2.0 60 56 56 -4 6 The Bayou 7 56.5 6 3.30 0.0 68 59 59 -9 7 Cool Runnings 4 59.0 7 4.20 2.0 65 60 60 -5 8 Star Crusade 5 58.0 8 5.60 0.0 63 61 61 -2 9 Mode 4 57.0 9 6.30 2.0 61 55 55 -6 10 Rocky Coast 6 55.0 10 7.10 0.0 57 55 55 -2 99 Tom's Act 3 59.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Waves | 61 | 77 | 61 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sonjador | 62 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | What A Blast Line | 62 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Ciro | 59 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flying Vision | 60 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Bayou | 68 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Cool Runnings | 65 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Star Crusade | 63 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mode | 61 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Rocky Coast | 57 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tom's Act | - | 64 | 55 | +9 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points