Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE FM 88 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Danse Milord
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sleek As Silk 2 50.5 1 0.00 0.0 77 80 77 +0 2 Morgan La Fay 2 57.5 2 0.10 0.0 84 94 94 +10 3 Danse Milord 3 57.5 3 0.50 8.0 83 83 83 +0 4 Strange Magic 5 58.5 4 0.65 0.0 86 101 101 +15 5 Kailene 3 59.0 5 0.70 8.0 89 86 86 -3 6 Acacia's Blossom 2 60.0 6 2.50 0.0 89 101 101 +12 7 Mvulazana 3 57.5 7 2.75 8.0 83 80 80 -3 8 High Roller 2 56.5 8 3.15 0.0 82 94 94 +12 9 National Star 2 57.0 9 3.25 0.0 83 95 95 +12 10 Aisling 3 55.0 10 3.50 8.0 86 74 76 -10 11 Toto 4 58.0 11 4.60 5.0 84 85 85 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sleek As Silk | 77 | 87 | 77 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Morgan La Fay | 84 | 98 | 94 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Danse Milord Line | 83 | 94 | 83 | +11 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Strange Magic | 86 | 69 | 101 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kailene | 89 | 79 | 86 | -7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Acacia's Blossom | 89 | 66 | 101 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mvulazana | 83 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | High Roller | 82 | 86 | 94 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | National Star | 83 | 75 | 95 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Aisling | 86 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 11 | Toto | 84 | 79 | 85 | -6 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points