Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: BETWAY INSUREBET MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Lorna Lilly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Secret Recipe 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 61 81 67 +6 2 Lorna Lilly 3 60.0 2 1.50 8.5 67 67 67 +0 3 Regal Daughter 2 57.0 3 2.75 0.0 - 77 77 +77 4 Wonder I Do 2 57.0 4 3.00 0.0 - 77 77 +77 5 Mocha Macaroon 4 57.0 5 4.50 6.0 80 63 70 -10 6 Jj's Eagle 2 57.0 6 8.00 0.0 66 75 75 +9 7 Green Bubbles 2 60.0 7 13.00 0.0 60 81 81 +21 8 Berriesofthestraw 3 57.0 8 25.00 8.5 - 58 58 +58 9 She's A Klawer 2 60.0 9 99.99 0.0 56 81 81 +25 99 Life Lesson 3 57.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Secret Recipe | 61 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lorna Lilly Line | 67 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 8.5 | ||
| 3 | Regal Daughter | - | 80 | 77 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Wonder I Do | - | 74 | 77 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mocha Macaroon | 80 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jj's Eagle | 66 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Green Bubbles | 60 | 66 | 81 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Berriesofthestraw | - | 34 | 58 | -24 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | She's A Klawer | 56 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Life Lesson | - | 49 | 58 | -9 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points