Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BETWAY AVIATOR FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Trip To Barberton
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Keep The Fort 3 58.5 1 0.00 9.5 69 44 69 +0 2 Hey Siri 2 60.5 2 0.50 0.0 73 74 74 +1 3 Trip To Barberton 2 55.0 3 1.00 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Crafty Heart 4 56.5 4 2.00 6.0 63 52 53 -10 5 Public Benefit 2 60.0 5 2.05 0.0 89 71 79 -10 6 State Of Mind 4 56.0 6 3.05 6.0 62 49 52 -10 7 Basetsana 5 54.0 7 5.30 0.0 58 54 54 -4 8 Soft Touch 2 53.5 8 5.35 0.0 59 53 53 -6 9 Kavian's Cara 4 52.5 9 6.10 6.0 55 39 45 -10 10 Sugarberry 2 58.0 10 6.60 0.0 68 62 62 -6 11 Global Avenue 3 58.5 11 7.60 9.5 67 44 57 -10 12 Izhiestia 5 52.5 12 7.70 0.0 55 51 51 -4 13 On The Guest List 2 57.5 13 7.80 0.0 67 61 61 -6 14 Respectable Miss 4 54.0 14 11.30 6.0 58 42 48 -10 99 Maiden's Cove 3 53.5 99 0.00 9.5 - 34 34 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keep The Fort | 69 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Hey Siri | 73 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Trip To Barberton Line | 62 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Crafty Heart | 63 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Public Benefit | 89 | 86 | 79 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | State Of Mind | 62 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Basetsana | 58 | 55 | 54 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Soft Touch | 59 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kavian's Cara | 55 | 56 | 45 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sugarberry | 68 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Global Avenue | 67 | 64 | 57 | +7 | 9.5 | - | |
| 12 | Izhiestia | 55 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | On The Guest List | 67 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Respectable Miss | 58 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Maiden's Cove | - | 58 | 34 | +24 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points