Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: FOLLOW CAPE RACING ON SOCIAL MEDIA CAPE A STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Tempting Fate
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mufasa               6    54.0    1    0.00     0.0   99    120          105   +6
2    Mr Cobbs             5    57.0    2    0.20     0.0   104   126          126   +22
3    Rio Querari          5    61.5    3    0.95     0.0   124   135          135   +11
4    Tempting Fate        4    58.5    4    1.95     11.0  107   107          107   +0
5    FireAlley            7    57.5    5    3.20     0.0   104   127          127   +23
6    Piroshka             5    51.0    6    3.95     0.0   94    114          114   +20
99   Speed Machine        4    58.5    99   0.00     11.0  -     107          107   +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mufasa 99 98 105 -7 0.0 -
2 Mr Cobbs 104 106 126 -20 0.0 -
3 Rio Querari 124 116 135 -19 0.0 -
4 Tempting Fate Line 107 103 107 -4 11.0
5 FireAlley 104 107 127 -20 0.0 -
6 Piroshka 94 72 114 -42 0.0 -
99 Speed Machine - 104 107 -3 11.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points