Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Purple Powahouse
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Patronage 4 56.5 1 0.00 2.0 69 61 69 +0 2 Cupid's Song 4 59.5 2 2.50 2.0 72 69 69 -3 3 Purple Powahouse 8 59.0 3 3.40 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Preemptive Strike 4 59.0 4 3.55 2.0 71 67 67 -4 5 Blackwhitedynamite 3 57.5 5 3.70 3.0 75 62 65 -10 6 Gentleman's Way 6 61.0 6 3.90 0.0 75 75 75 +0 7 Parktown 5 60.0 7 5.80 0.0 73 72 72 -1 8 White Cedar 6 53.0 8 6.40 0.0 59 58 58 -1 9 Canadian Bolt 6 58.5 9 6.55 0.0 70 69 69 -1 10 Trattoria 5 59.0 10 12.95 0.0 71 70 70 -1 99 Kildonan Bay 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Get Carter 4 53.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patronage | 69 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cupid's Song | 72 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Purple Powahouse Line | 71 | 55 | 71 | -16 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Preemptive Strike | 71 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Blackwhitedynamite | 75 | 86 | 65 | +21 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gentleman's Way | 75 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Parktown | 73 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | White Cedar | 59 | 73 | 58 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Canadian Bolt | 70 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Trattoria | 71 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kildonan Bay | - | 54 | 62 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Get Carter | - | 46 | 55 | -9 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points