Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: BETWAY INSUREBET MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Exhale
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kudzu 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 75 75 -6 2 Exhale 3 60.0 2 4.95 9.5 64 64 64 +0 3 Birthright 4 56.0 3 5.00 6.0 - 63 63 +63 4 In A Blue Moon 2 56.0 4 7.00 0.0 77 75 75 -2 5 Puerto Plata (ARG) 3 60.0 5 25.50 9.5 69 64 64 -5 6 Mr Spain 2 56.0 6 99.99 0.0 - 75 75 +75 99 The Octagon 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kudzu | 81 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Exhale Line | 64 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 9.5 | ||
| 3 | Birthright | - | 95 | 63 | +32 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | In A Blue Moon | 77 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Puerto Plata (ARG) | 69 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mr Spain | - | 66 | 75 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | The Octagon | - | 76 | 75 | +1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points