Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 3 OCTOBER MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Silent Trigger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Eiffel Tower 4 55.5 1 0.00 6.0 83 51 83 +0 2 Napoleon 3 59.0 2 1.25 8.5 73 57 63 -10 3 Follow My Path 5 52.0 3 2.00 0.0 55 59 59 +4 4 Silent Trigger 6 59.5 4 2.05 0.0 74 74 74 +0 5 Duke Of Rock 3 58.0 5 3.50 8.5 72 52 62 -10 6 Sage King 3 59.5 6 4.00 8.5 74 55 64 -10 7 Johnny Dogs 2 60.0 7 10.00 0.0 76 72 72 -4 8 Parker Getrix 4 54.5 8 10.25 6.0 64 49 54 -10 9 Vesuvio 5 59.0 9 10.75 0.0 74 70 70 -4 10 Gregor Macgregor 4 54.5 10 13.00 6.0 64 49 54 -10 11 Viva De Janeiro 5 58.5 11 16.00 0.0 73 69 69 -4 12 San Marzano 3 53.0 12 16.25 8.5 61 41 51 -10 13 Waqaas (AUS) 6 52.0 13 26.25 0.0 59 56 56 -3 14 Jusrite 3 54.5 14 37.00 8.5 65 44 55 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eiffel Tower | 83 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Napoleon | 73 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Follow My Path | 55 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Silent Trigger Line | 74 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Duke Of Rock | 72 | 76 | 62 | +14 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Sage King | 74 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Johnny Dogs | 76 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Parker Getrix | 64 | 56 | 54 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Vesuvio | 74 | 85 | 70 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Gregor Macgregor | 64 | 63 | 54 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Viva De Janeiro | 73 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | San Marzano | 61 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 13 | Waqaas (AUS) | 59 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Jusrite | 65 | 68 | 55 | +13 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points