Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: UGU WOMEN FOUNDATION MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Future Of Energy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Johnny The Thief 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 80 61 61 -19 2 Future Of Energy 5 60.0 2 2.10 0.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Red Mountain 4 58.0 3 2.30 5.0 - 53 53 +53 4 Scampton 2 58.0 4 4.00 0.0 80 62 70 -10 5 Helsinki 2 58.0 5 4.10 0.0 80 62 70 -10 6 Pieter Both 3 58.0 6 5.20 8.0 - 45 45 +45 7 Connoisseur 4 58.0 7 5.45 5.0 74 51 64 -10 8 Tipouri 3 58.0 8 5.75 8.0 - 45 45 +45 99 Future Flo 4 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 48 48 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnny The Thief | 80 | 95 | 61 | +34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Future Of Energy Line | 68 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Red Mountain | - | 77 | 53 | +24 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Scampton | 80 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Helsinki | 80 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pieter Both | - | 65 | 45 | +20 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Connoisseur | 74 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tipouri | - | 72 | 45 | +27 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Future Flo | - | 95 | 48 | +47 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points