Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BETWAY AVIATOR FM 91 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Flame Flower
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Definitely Maybe 3 58.5 1 0.00 8.0 88 92 88 +0 2 Aerial View 3 53.5 2 0.50 8.0 78 87 87 +9 3 Flame Flower 3 51.0 3 0.75 8.0 81 81 81 +0 4 Carbonado 2 60.0 4 1.00 0.0 92 115 115 +23 5 Twice To Heaven 3 57.0 5 1.25 8.0 85 93 93 +8 6 Tried And True 5 52.5 6 1.35 0.0 73 99 99 +26 7 Double Check 3 60.0 7 7.60 8.0 91 95 95 +4 99 Lady Mistico 2 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 109 109 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Definitely Maybe | 88 | 97 | 88 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aerial View | 78 | 82 | 87 | -5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Flame Flower Line | 81 | 78 | 81 | -3 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Carbonado | 92 | 92 | 115 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twice To Heaven | 85 | 72 | 93 | -21 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tried And True | 73 | 75 | 99 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Double Check | 91 | 85 | 95 | -10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lady Mistico | - | 75 | 109 | -34 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points