Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)
Line Horse
Charlie Croker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cafe Culture 3 55.0 1 0.00 7.0 85 69 69 -16 2 Zil Moris 2 54.0 2 1.00 0.0 96 85 86 -10 3 Seeking The One 2 61.0 3 1.50 0.0 97 98 98 +1 4 Charlie Croker 2 58.0 4 2.50 0.0 91 91 91 +0 5 Gimmelightning 2 54.0 5 2.70 0.0 96 83 86 -10 6 Usa's Hope 2 59.0 6 3.00 0.0 93 93 93 +0 7 Blackberry Malt 5 57.0 7 3.50 0.0 89 88 88 -1 8 Veldskoen (AUS) 4 56.0 8 3.55 4.5 85 77 77 -8 9 Meu Capitano 4 55.0 9 3.95 4.5 98 75 88 -10 10 Northern Song 4 54.0 10 5.45 4.5 82 72 72 -10 11 Sun Dazed 6 56.0 11 5.65 0.0 86 85 85 -1 12 Monumental 2 54.0 12 5.95 0.0 96 81 86 -10 13 Innamorare 5 57.0 13 7.20 0.0 88 87 87 -1 14 The Tinkerman 3 54.5 14 9.45 7.0 83 68 73 -10 99 Marvel William 2 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 99 Blue Holly 4 53.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 71 71 +0 99 Paratrooper 4 54.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cafe Culture | 85 | 118 | 69 | +49 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Zil Moris | 96 | 100 | 86 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Seeking The One | 97 | 92 | 98 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Charlie Croker Line | 91 | 82 | 91 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Gimmelightning | 96 | 95 | 86 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Usa's Hope | 93 | 97 | 93 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Blackberry Malt | 89 | 82 | 88 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Veldskoen (AUS) | 85 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Meu Capitano | 98 | 111 | 88 | +23 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Northern Song | 82 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Sun Dazed | 86 | 64 | 85 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Monumental | 96 | 71 | 86 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Innamorare | 88 | 91 | 87 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | The Tinkerman | 83 | 76 | 73 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Marvel William | - | 73 | 80 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blue Holly | - | 85 | 71 | +14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Paratrooper | - | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points