Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CAPE RACING SALES OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Love Shack
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Vix Princess 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 77 77 -1 2 Essential 4 57.0 2 1.50 4.5 74 67 67 -7 3 Miss Lemonade 2 52.0 3 2.75 0.0 61 65 65 +4 4 Love Shack 2 59.0 4 3.50 0.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Look Forward 3 57.5 5 4.50 7.0 62 60 60 -2 6 Lady Loxton 4 54.5 6 4.80 4.5 69 59 59 -10 7 Maria Christina 2 53.0 7 5.00 0.0 66 65 65 -1 8 Jet Green 4 52.0 8 5.05 4.5 58 54 54 -4 9 Youreyesonly 2 53.0 9 5.35 0.0 53 65 65 +12 10 Simply Beautiful 3 60.0 10 10.35 7.0 66 65 65 -1 11 Camaraderie 2 52.5 11 10.65 0.0 56 64 64 +8 12 Diamond Rockstar 3 52.5 12 11.05 7.0 52 50 50 -2 13 What Now My Gal 2 58.5 13 11.80 0.0 64 76 76 +12 99 Blind Faith 4 55.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 60 60 +0 99 Black Hole Sun 4 52.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 55 55 +0 99 Future Contract 3 52.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Dark Future 2 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vix Princess | 78 | 94 | 77 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Essential | 74 | 91 | 67 | +24 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Miss Lemonade | 61 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Love Shack Line | 78 | 69 | 78 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Look Forward | 62 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Loxton | 69 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Maria Christina | 66 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jet Green | 58 | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Youreyesonly | 53 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Simply Beautiful | 66 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Camaraderie | 56 | 45 | 64 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Diamond Rockstar | 52 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | What Now My Gal | 64 | 47 | 76 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blind Faith | - | 52 | 60 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Black Hole Sun | - | 53 | 55 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Future Contract | - | 40 | 50 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dark Future | - | 49 | 63 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points