Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Moya Wa Laliga
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Teflon Man 4 59.0 1 0.00 4.5 90 79 79 -11 2 Marvel William 2 61.5 2 1.00 0.0 82 97 97 +15 3 Tough Terrain 5 58.0 3 2.00 0.0 75 89 89 +14 4 Moya Wa Laliga 3 61.5 4 2.40 7.0 81 81 81 +0 5 All About Al 7 61.0 5 4.90 0.0 80 92 92 +12 6 Bullitt 2 55.0 6 5.90 0.0 69 80 80 +11 7 Shifting Path 2 52.5 7 6.90 0.0 64 75 75 +11 8 Grand Bay 2 57.5 8 6.95 0.0 87 85 85 -2 9 Purple And Green 6 52.5 9 7.70 0.0 66 75 75 +9 10 Kebonalesedi 5 59.5 10 8.95 0.0 78 89 89 +11 11 Oriental Charm 3 57.0 11 9.15 7.0 86 70 76 -10 12 Fort Red 4 58.5 12 14.40 4.5 75 78 78 +3 13 Lines Crossed 2 60.0 13 16.65 0.0 92 90 90 -2 99 Masked Vigilante 3 57.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Jewel Cat 2 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 86 86 +0 99 Mount Pleasant (AUS 4 61.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 84 84 +0 99 Sail The Sky 4 57.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teflon Man | 90 | 106 | 79 | +27 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Marvel William | 82 | 73 | 97 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tough Terrain | 75 | 81 | 89 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Moya Wa Laliga Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | All About Al | 80 | 78 | 92 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bullitt | 69 | 65 | 80 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Shifting Path | 64 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Grand Bay | 87 | 74 | 85 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Purple And Green | 66 | 55 | 75 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kebonalesedi | 78 | 67 | 89 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Oriental Charm | 86 | 127 | 76 | +51 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Fort Red | 75 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 13 | Lines Crossed | 92 | 82 | 90 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Masked Vigilante | - | 78 | 70 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Jewel Cat | - | 91 | 86 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mount Pleasant (AUS) | - | 71 | 84 | -13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Sail The Sky | - | 62 | 76 | -14 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points