Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: HOLLYWOODBETS DURBANVILLE COUNTRY SERIES MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Lightning Glow
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Das Gute 4 58.0 1 0.00 4.5 78 -12 - -78 2 Lightning Glow 2 58.0 2 1.50 0.0 - - - +0 3 Firingonallengines 4 58.0 3 5.00 4.5 - -12 - +0 4 Resurgence 4 58.0 4 5.75 4.5 - -12 - +0 5 Lord Saye (GB) 3 60.0 5 6.15 7.0 - -13 - +0 6 Pompei Warning 2 58.0 6 6.65 0.0 73 -3 63 -10 7 Plus Four 2 58.0 7 7.65 0.0 - -3 - +0 8 Undercover Lover 4 58.0 8 8.90 4.5 - -12 - +0 9 Blue Bay 3 58.0 9 10.15 7.0 - -17 - +0 10 Sir Anthony 3 58.0 10 13.65 7.0 - -17 - +0 11 Mcenroe 3 58.0 11 13.95 7.0 - -17 - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Das Gute | 78 | 77 | - | +77 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lightning Glow Line | - | 92 | - | +92 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Firingonallengines | - | 69 | - | +69 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Resurgence | - | 57 | - | +57 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Lord Saye (GB) | - | 62 | - | +62 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pompei Warning | 73 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Plus Four | - | 87 | - | +87 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Undercover Lover | - | 45 | - | +45 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Blue Bay | - | 84 | - | +84 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sir Anthony | - | 50 | - | +50 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mcenroe | - | 23 | - | +23 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points