Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Dean Street
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 October Morn 2 57.0 1 0.00 5.5 101 90 90 -11 2 Bluff On Bluff 3 54.0 2 1.25 8.5 77 78 78 +1 3 Icy Blast 4 60.0 3 1.35 10.0 101 87 91 -10 4 Savantrix 4 54.0 4 1.85 10.0 89 75 79 -10 5 Dean Street 3 61.5 5 2.25 8.5 93 93 93 +0 6 Barney Mcgrew 4 58.5 6 2.45 10.0 87 84 84 -3 7 Open Highway 4 52.5 7 3.20 10.0 86 72 76 -10 8 Golden Tatjana 4 55.5 8 3.40 10.0 97 78 87 -10 9 Porque Te Vas 5 54.5 9 9.15 0.0 84 96 96 +12 99 Exchange Student 4 55.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | October Morn | 101 | 119 | 90 | +29 | 5.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bluff On Bluff | 77 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Icy Blast | 101 | 88 | 91 | -3 | 10.0 | - | |
| 4 | Savantrix | 89 | 90 | 79 | +11 | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dean Street Line | 93 | 102 | 93 | +9 | 8.5 | ||
| 6 | Barney Mcgrew | 87 | 69 | 84 | -15 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Open Highway | 86 | 94 | 76 | +18 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Golden Tatjana | 97 | 67 | 87 | -20 | 10.0 | - | |
| 9 | Porque Te Vas | 84 | 78 | 96 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Exchange Student | - | 104 | 78 | +26 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points